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Last night Bernie Sanders, unsurprisingly, won the New Hampshire primary. FiveThirtyEight now gives him a 38% of winning the Democratic nomination—his leading rival, at this point, is a brokered convention, which the site gives a 33% chance of happening. Prior to Iowa, there were three plausible ways for the Democratic primary season to wrap up: It could follow the pattern of the Republican primary in 2012 with former VP Joe Biden playing the part of Mitt Romney—the obvious (and obviously flawed) favorite fending off a revolving door of increasingly implausible opponents. That door began to close in Iowa. It was slammed shut last night. Biden is done.
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